Posts tagged gwern

.@slatestarcodex asked me & @theshawwn if GPT–2 could play chess: "…sure why not" Also coming: - GPT–2–1.5b-poetry - Music…

IFTTT, Twitter, gwern


(via http://twitter.com/gwern/status/1214629102084349958)

‘Stand alone complexes’ are an interesting idea and seem especially relevant these days; surprising to look through Google/G…

IFTTT, Twitter, gwern


(via http://twitter.com/gwern/status/1087085123739312129)

Prediction markets

prediction, prediction markets, gwern, decisions

Writing down precise predictions is like spaced repetition: it’s brutal to do because it is almost a paradigmatic long-term activity, being wrong is physically unpleasant, and it requires 2 skills, formulating precise predictions and then actually predicting. (For spaced repetition, writing good flashcards and then actually regularly reviewing.) There are lots of exercises to try to (calibrate yourself using trivia questions obscure historical events, geography, etc.), but they only take you so far; it’s the real world near term and long term predictions that give you the most food for thought, and those require a year or three at minimum.

http://www.gwern.net/Prediction%20markets

Archiving URLs

gwern, archive, link rot, digital archiving, digital decay

Given my interest in long term content and extensive linking, link rot is an issue of deep concern to me. I need backups not just for my files1, but for the web pages I read and use - they’re all part of my exomind. It’s not much good to have an extensive essay on some topic where half the links are dead and the reader can neither verify my claims nor get context for my claims.

http://www.gwern.net/Archiving%20URLs