Just blocked a few who discuss this virus in terms of “predicting” & track record, as Phil the rat @PTetlock & others in the…
Just blocked a few who discuss this virus in terms of “predicting” & track record, as Phil the rat @PTetlock & others in the “forecasting” BS are presenting it.
— Nassim Nicholas Taleb (@nntaleb) March 6, 2020
When you put your seat belt you aren’t “forecasting” a crash. When you lock your house you aren’t forecasting theft…